Home Affairs Proposes a Multi-Year Migration Planning Model for 2025-26 and Opens Consultation on the 2024-25 Migration Programme

Today Australia announced the migration quota settings for the 24-25 financial year.public consultation paper. Permanent residence for each financial yearHow much is the batch visa quota and how to divide it,as well asSocial issues related to permanent migration, the Department of Home Affairs will ask for public opinions about six months in advance.From today until December 17th, you can submit submissions.

This is more like a standard process, and it is unknown to what extent public opinion can really affect the final decision.
In order to serve as a starting point, the Department of Home Affairs will introduce some background information and data, and this time there is some news.

want to buildprinciples-based multi-year migration planning model

It mentioned that Australia’s annual migration plan (that is, the permanent residence visa quota) is planned once a year. The migration review found that Australia needs long-term and comprehensive migration planning. Longer-term plans can allow the federal government and states to cooperate more closely..
In the 2023 National Cabinet, states and the Commonwealth have agreed to develop a principled multi-year migration plan model. The prospect of expanding Australia’s migration plan will help to better align Australia’s investment in population, infrastructure, housing and services.

The federal government expects this may be implemented in 25-26 years.

A brief summary: The current migration plan only covers the number of permanent residence visas approved each year. future migration plans,You may want to provide principled guidance on various overseas population inflows including permanent residence for many years.

Once again, NOM was mentioned

Net overseas migration (NOM, net overseas migration, including all net people entering from overseas, most of which are TR temporary visas, and a small number are PR/citizens) has been mentioned again and again recently. The last time was at the MIA employer sponsorship special answer meeting. MIA stated that the Department of Home Affairs believes that liberalizing the 482-to-permanent residence channel will not add additional pressure to NOM, because most of the applicants are already in the country.

Now they mentioned NOM again. They mentioned that NOM will continue to rise in 2023 and continue to exceed the expected number.However, the number of PR approval quotas in financial year 23-24 has not increased compared to financial year 22-23, so it is not the reason for the recent rise in NOM.

Once again, we feel the federation’s current sensitivity towards NOM, and their urgency to get NOM under control as soon as possible. After all, an influx of 500,000 is expected in the short term, and everyone who hears this feels a bit stressed.

The impact of migration on housing

It is mentioned that the inflow of permanent residence will indeed have an impact on housing demand, but at the same time it will help solve the supply problem caused by skills shortages.The construction industry is indeed experiencing a local skills shortage, and an emphasis on skilled migration can help address this.

Of course,The current housing problem in Australia is caused by many complex factors, and we cannot just blame too many migrants.
Because it’s just a way to attract good ideas,Many contents of the consultation document are relatively broad, leaving a lot of space to facilitate discussion and opinions.

How should we read this?
Longer-term and larger-scale plans are good ideas, but can they only be guided by principles?

This way the stability will at least be better.Now the state government knows the annual PR approval quota together with us every year, and we wait for the state quota before launching the state nomination plan. For example, this year’s quota suddenly dropped significantly, and the state government was caught off guard and could not change it.EvenstableIt is an ideal idea to make a longer-term plan with more active communication.From a social perspective, the pressure on infrastructure and housing is not directly related to the absolute number of permanent residences. The number is a drop in the bucket compared to temporary visas.But you said that the permanent residence migration policy can also help attract more temporary visas, such as international students. There is such a causal relationship.So planning together is of course better.

But the problem is that this problem is too big, and it is really difficult to plan for so many temporary visas. Therefore, it is a principled model and will have to wait until at least 2025.
Does Australia still have labour shortages?

The consultation document states that it is still difficult for employers to recruit based on data, but nowHave you stopped seeing the business community calling out for shortages of people?The shortage is mainly concentrated in individual industries such as infrastructure, education and nursing., these shortages are also reflected in this year’s invitation trend.
Another major reform?

Multi-Year Migration Planning ModelAt least until 2025, taking into account the difficulty and breadth of planning, andIt’s time for the Australian federal election again, so in the short term we still focus on these small but specific new policy changes on study permits and employer sponsorship.
Last week VETASSESS also stated that it would continue to maintain the requirement of skills assessment in the short term.Just do whatever you have to do now.

Previous articles worth revisiting

You often hear about this profession, but didn’t you know it’s so easy to study abroad and migrate?

A sentence from a trip to Australia inspired her to start her four-year migration journey.

WA has sent out another 1,200 invitations! Are there still quotas worth moving over?

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