Subclass 189 Official Invitation Report Is Out — What Will Next Year’s Rounds Look Like?

The latest Subclass 189 official invitation report is here (cover image). EOIdata (ED) figures are updated through end of November — a good chance to analyse this round of invitations alongside them.

Because the official report only publishes the invitation scores for each occupation and not the actual number of invitations issued, we estimate the per-occupation invitation volume by combining it with ED data. Note that ED compares backlog between end of October and end of November, so there will be variance from EOIs that expire or are updated, and from new EOIs entering the pool after invitations are issued. Values under 20 are rounded to 10 for estimation, so treat the figures as indicative only (Figures 2-3).

Figure 2
Figure 3

This round issued 10,000 invitations, versus 7,000 in the previous round — 17,000 in total across the two rounds. This year’s quota is 16,900, so the two rounds have already exceeded the full-year allocation. Acceptance rates will be the deciding factor from here; personally, I expect invitation volumes in the second half of the year to be meaningfully lower than in the first half.

Occupation-level results broadly match prior rounds

The “three treasures” look like they’re being unwound: Nursing and Social Work both received invitations at 75 points, while Early Childhood Teaching is still stuck in the 85-point band, and Secondary Teaching has also dropped back to 75.
Per ED, this round issued 2,000+ invitations for Nursing, with Social Work and Secondary Teaching both above 400, while Early Childhood Teaching received only around 200 — which is why the clearing score for Early Childhood Teaching remains high.

In detail (Figures 4-5)

Social Work invited at 75 points. All EOIs at 80 points or above as of end of October have been cleared. The backlog of 75-point Social Work EOIs fell from 329 to 258 between end of October and end of November.
Nursing (the entire category, not just NEC) invited at 75 points. All 80-point-and-above EOIs cleared as of end of October; the 75-point backlog dropped by around 1,000 by end of November.
Secondary Teaching invited at 75 points. All 80-point-and-above EOIs as of end of October cleared; 75-point backlog fell from 440 to 368 by end of November.
Early Childhood Teaching invited at 85 points. Around 50 EOIs at 90 points or above as of end of October; 85-point backlog fell from 691 to 559 by end of November. By end of November there were already 1,468 Early Childhood Teaching EOIs at 80 points.

Accounting, Auditing, Civil Engineer, and IT occupations received zero invitations this round.
Construction and engineering (non-trades) invited mostly at 85 points — for example Civil Engineering Draftsperson or Technician (down from 90 to 85), Architect, Landscape Architect, Construction Project Manager (invited at even lower scores under state nomination), Electrical Engineering Draftsperson or Technician, and Engineering Manager.
Other occupations: Lawyer at 85, Actuary at 85, Multimedia Specialist (the only IT-adjacent occupation) at 85, and Management Consultant at 85.
Trades continued to be invited uniformly at 65 points — Carpenters, Tilers, Plumbers, and similar.
Carpenter and Joiner: all 70-point-and-above EOIs cleared as of end of October; by end of November the 65-point backlog had fallen to 76. Invitation volume for Carpenters this round was solid — 600+.
Civil Engineer received no invitations for two consecutive rounds. Applicants may want to consider a skills assessment as a Draftsperson or Technician instead — Draftsperson/Technician EOIs at 90 points and above are cleared, and the 85-point backlog fell from 305 to 173 by end of November, with around 200 invited this round.

Figure 4
Figure 5

State quotas as of end of November have also been updated — remaining allocations are healthy across the board, mostly above 80%, largely because the quotas were released late in the cycle

Figure 6

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