On Tuesday we shared the full 2022-23 migration visa results, which included backlog data for the three major subclasses, 189, 190 and 491 (Last financial year’s migration results are out | Onshore/offshore skilled migration both hit new highs! Accounting, IT, nursing: which occupation was hottest? The state with the most 491 grants was…). We had already obtained this data through an FOI request a few months ago and analysed at the time that it would likely leave after-effects for 2023-24. So we did not go into the backlog for the three categories as at 30 June 2023 in detail.
Today we saw updated visa data for the three categories being shared,though the data is quite scattered.We have broken it down into the following three tables and will go straight to the conclusions:
–For 190, new lodgements in July and August this year, the first two months of the new financial year, totalled 1,936. At that time, state governments had not yet received their allocations. Most had not issued invitations, and even where they had, there were not many, so new 190 visa lodgements were not high.
–In July and August, 5,524 subclass 190 visas were granted, averaging 2,762 per month. The full-year 190 grant allocation is 30,400; spread evenly over 12 months, that is a monthly “budget” of 2,533. The actual number is a little higher, but not by much.
This detail matters for those still waiting for grants. If Home Affairs does not follow a monthly or quarterly “budget”, for example granting 10,000 in the first two months, grants in the remaining part of the financial year would become fewer and fewer, or even stop early if the allocation is exhausted.For now, the situation is acceptable.
–In July and August, 190 cleared 3,351 backlogged applications(the clearance number and grant number differ because new applications keep being lodged and a very small number are refused),while 491 cleared 5,134.。Because annual allocations apply,the backlog cannot be cleared quickly.At least for now, it is progressing steadily. As state nominations start issuing invitations in the coming months, new 190 and 491 lodgements will increase. We hope grant numbers can keep up with new lodgements so the backlog can continue falling.
–For 189, the backlog had fallen to 23,288 by the end of August, which is a pleasant surprise.
On one hand, there have not been many new 189 lodgements because there have been no new invitations; on the other hand, credit to the visa officers for their efforts.They cleared 5,337 backlogged applications in two months, the highest among the three categories.。Judging only from the backlog,could this mean there may be a chance of 189 invitations in the second half of the financial year? We can have a little hope.
Recent grant pace for the three categories (general occupations):
–190 is generally around September to December, and our clients granted this week were alllodged in early November.
–189 general occupations are still processing the batch invited in December, while priority occupations are already moving towards applications lodged in July 2023.
–491 is generally processing applications lodged in the second half of 2022, roughly one to two months slower than 190.
– In recent weeks, the three categories have hadgrant waves on Wednesdays, so keep an eye out.
– The above pace isfor macro-level reference only, and individual cases vary greatly.
To reiterate, the reference processing times on the Home Affairs website are not particularly reliable,and they are certainly not promised processing times. If your own application is slower than the website figure, do not worry too much. Comparing less may at least make you feel better.
Waiting for a grant is painful, especially when it is a migration visa. Those who have waited know it; we are, or have been, visa waiters too…
Our daily wish: may your grant arrive soon!
Previous articles
This round of invitations from Victoria and WA, with no surprises in NSW’s first round…
Last financial year’s migration results are out | Onshore/offshore skilled migration both hit new highs!
Northern Territory opens new 491 applications! Offshore civil, electrical, mining and restaurant manager occupations can apply!
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