Australia’s skills shortage has been widely discussed of late — healthcare, construction engineering, hospitality, and more. Virtually every industry is watching and waiting for the government to reopen borders to skilled migrants, international students, and other temporary visa holders.
Of course, there are also voices arguing that retaining those already onshore should be the immediate priority to ease the pressing shortage.
“Grant citizenship to the 1.6 million temporary visa holders already onshore!?”
The aviation industry, which had previously faced massive redundancies, is also starting to need more staff as state borders and international borders gradually reopen.The CEO of Virgin Australiaat a recent Australian Financial Review Infrastructure Summit directly called forbold measures to retain those currently onshoreto help ease the skills crisis.
“Australia is desperately short of people. We don’t want anyone to leave.”He therefore proposed issuing Australian passports to the 1.6 million temporary visa holders currently residing onshore.
“The real priority is sorting out border entry and exit.”
The CEO of globally renowned toll road operator Transurban (which also oversees a number of major Australian public infrastructure projects) also predicted that once borders gradually and fully reopen, talent drain will become an issue and some people will go overseas. His view was less radical: “We simply need to make it easy for them to come here and easy to return to their families,without getting bogged down in border entry and exit issues, and that way they’ll feel comfortable doing so.”
The CIMIC CEO stated that the pre-pandemic skills shortage will continue to persist now and into the future,for as long as the border remains essentially closed.
For migration, work experience / Job Offer is a major issue
Preliminary results from the federal government’s official Job Vacancy Index show that in October, as Victoria and New South Wales gradually began reopening, job vacancies across Australia increased by 7.8%, or 18,100 positions,marking the first time since October 2008 that cumulative job vacancies have exceeded 250,000.Victoria and New South Wales recorded the fastest growth in vacancies.
The above reflects the employer perspective. The impact of vacancies runs both ways — job seekers are equally affected.Work experience and employment are becoming increasingly critical in migration applications,employer-sponsored pathways go without saying, andmost state nomination pathways now also treat it as a mandatory prerequisite.Moreover, for those who relocate from one region to another for migration purposes, their biggest concern is“whether they can find work”.
New South Wales (NSW), one year of relevant experience has effectively become an implicit requirement for receiving an invitation
Victoria (VIC), a local job in your target occupation is the single most important criterion for receiving an invitation
South Australia (SA), relevant work experience is required — whether short-term or long-term, regional or metropolitan
Western Australia (WA), a job offer and work experience
Canberra (ACT), local employment is a prerequisite; it need not be in the nominated occupation, but having related work is a significant advantage
Tasmania (TAS), work that contributes to the local community; at minimum, a reasonable career plan is required
So today we’re sharing employment data for several of the most popular“I’d consider relocating there to apply for state nomination”states, sourced fromNational Skills comissiontheir latest summary.
Is the National Skills Commission’s research and data important for migration?
Just look at this — the skilled migration occupation listsPriority Migration Skilled Occupations Listare drawn up, reviewed, and revised based on their recommendations and guidance.The STSOL, MLTSSL, and ROL lists are compiled the same way,though in the current exceptional circumstances, adjustments to the PMSOL are the immediate focus.
Newstars on Change
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Over 24,000 signatures!
1. Follow New Zealand’s lead and grant a one-off amnesty to temporary residents who have been waiting long-term for migration outcomes
2. Restore the skilled migration visa quota for the current financial year to at least the original level of 108,000
SBS and ABC News have followed up with coverage!
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*The following data is current as at May 2021
New South Wales — NSW
Fastest-growing industries over the past five years
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services 30.1%
Education and Training 23.8%
Public Administration and Safety 23.4%
Health Care and Social Assistance 14.2%
Other Services 16.3%
Given that more and more people — whether by choice or circumstance — are opting for a regional state nomination Subclass 491 pathway, NSW 491 is among the most sought-after regional state nomination options,and employment growth in the Murray and Illawarra regions — among NSW’s designated regional areas — has been the fastest over the past five years.
The state’s top ten industries are shown in the chart below
Victoria — VIC
Fastest-growing industries over the past five years
Public Administration and Safety 37.8%
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services 29.2%
Education and Training 24.9%
Financial and Insurance Services 22.7%
Arts and Recreation Services 22.4%
The state’s top ten industries are shown in the chart below
Canberra — ACT
Fastest-growing industries over the past five years
Other Services 41.7%
Health Care and Social Assistance 40.1%
Education and Training 31.2%
Construction 23.9%
Arts and Recreation Services 22.7%
The territory’s top ten industries are shown in the chart below
South Australia — SA
Fastest-growing industries over the past five years
Mining 111.7%
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services 27.5%
Education and Training 27.1%
Arts and Recreation Services 25.4%
Construction 20.6%
The state’s top ten industries are shown in the chart below
Tasmania — TAS
Fastest-growing industries over the past five years
Accommodation and Food Services 40.7%
Transport, Postal and Warehousing 37.8%
Health Care and Social Assistance 21.1%
Administrative and Support Services 18.8%
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services 15.7%
The state’s top ten industries are shown in the chart below
Accountant
Developer Programmer
Software Engineer
Electricians
Chefs
Metal Fabricators
Beyond the regional view, let us also look by skills category — the migration occupations that most applicants pursue fall predominantly underProfessionals and Technicians and Trades Workers.
Among all Professionals occupations, NSC data shows thatAccountants, Developer Programmers, and Software Engineers are currently experiencing the most acute skills shortagesof any occupation,with strong demand projected for the future.
The NSC’s 2021 survey found that skills shortages are most widespread among Technicians and Trades Workers; within this category,42% of occupations are experiencing skills shortages(compared with 19% for Professionals); the occupations with the most severe shortages areelectricians, chefs, and metal fabricators.
Some of you may be thinking: these figures and surveys don’t match what I’ve observed?
We’re all entitled to our own impressions, but what matters most is that the federal government bases its policy decisions primarily on the NSC’s recommendations — and state governments likely reference them too. That’s why you see accounting and IT occupations on the PMSOL. Keeping a close eye on the National Skills Commission is therefore well worthwhile, and we can only hope to see more occupations added. The NSC is also arguably the most comprehensive and proactive body continuously collecting labour market data and producing a range of reports.
Finally, our daily reminder to keep urging Morrison to open the borders for skilled migrants…
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