Subclass 189 Backlog Up 14,000 — Is It Really Faster Than 190? Subclass 491 Finally Declining, 143 Rising Sharply! Real Offshore Grant Rates for Chinese Applicants on 500/600?

Recently, migration visa grants and further information (FFI) requests have been accelerating. The Subclass 887 processing team has taken on many new case officers. The final batch of Subclass 489 applications lodged at the end of 2019 are finally being granted one by one. Employer-sponsored 186/482 visas have not been overlooked either. Temporary visas such as 485/500/600 are being processed even faster.

Newstars — This Week’s Grants Roundup

This week we received a response from the Department of Home Affairs (via a Freedom of Information request). There are some new developments — let’s take a look.


1

Subclass 189 Backlog Surges / Up 14,000


With the revival of Subclass 189, many have been asking about 189 grant rates and how they compare to 190.At the end of June, the Subclass 189 backlog stood at 13,000, with the majority likely in the New Zealand Stream. By end-October, the figure had jumped to 27,816 — more than doubling.

While some of this increase reflects new New Zealand Stream lodgements, the primary driver is that 24,000 invitations were issued across the August and October rounds combined. The acceptance rate — the proportion of invitees who actually lodged — appears to be below 50% so far.

Monthly Subclass 189 grants in September and October were around 1,000 — fewer than 190 — and when combined with the backlog figures, this confirms that 189 is not being processed faster than 190 overall. We do have clients who received invitations in October and have since been granted, but all are in highest-priority occupations such as healthcare.

2

Subclass 491 Relinquishes the “Backlog King” Title / Down 2,000+


From 29,613 at end-June to 27,300 at end-October — this reduction is likely due to several factors:
491 grants continuing steadily — monthly grants are not as high as 190, but they now exceed 189, with both September and October around 1,000
② New 491 lodgements this financial year are likely lower than before, given there are now more direct-to-PR pathways available
③ For the same reason, some applicants waiting on 491 grants have likely withdrawn their applications to start afresh.

491 is unlikely to hold the top spot in the points-tested skilled backlog going forward. Another positive sign: 491’s predecessor, Subclass 489, is also working through its final lodgements — applications lodged at the end of 2019 are being granted progressively. Hopefully this wave will clear the remainder entirely.

3

190 Remains the Top-Granted Visa / Backlog Up Only 1,610

The backlog at end-October is higher than at end-June, but only by 1,610.

Bear in mind that multiple states have been issuing invitation rounds of several thousand this financial year — maintaining the backlog at this level is a strong result.Monthly grants of around 1,500 reflect the Department’s prioritisation and effort. From November, monthly numbers are expected to be even more impressive.

4

887 Showing Self-Improvement / Monthly Grants Have Doubled

Compared to its own recent performance, 887 monthly grants have doubled over the past two months — better than nothing, and certainly better than double digits. Because 887 does not consume migration programme quota, the only thing needed is more staffing — and we have indeed seen several new case officers join the 887 team.

Parent Migration


1

Subclass 143 Backlog Increases Markedly / Get in the Queue Early

By end-October, the paid-stream backlog for Subclass 143 stood at 70,153 — a notable increase from the previous ~65,000. This reflects more people lodging parent visa applications immediately after their own PR is granted.


The total paid-stream backlog is 77,243. With this financial year’s quota of 8,500 and 80% allocated to the paid stream — that is approximately 6,800 places — the estimated wait time currently exceeds 10 years. Lodging as early as possible remains the right call.

2

October Grants on the Rise / The Department Knew More Quota Was Coming

Monthly grants for Subclass 143 and 103 increased noticeably from October. Since the timeframe from FFI to final grant is approximately two to three months, this means the Department began issuing more FFI requests at the start of the financial year, with applications completing FFI around September–October gradually being granted. This again confirms the Department was well aware of the increased quota and acted ahead of schedule.


FFI requests for Subclass 143 have now progressed to late March 2017. However, applicants who lodged in May or June 2017 should be prepared for slower progress — May saw 3,400+ lodgements and June had 5,308, compared to roughly 1,000 or fewer in other months.


If your PR was recently granted, contact us to enquire about parent migration options.



Beyond the migration visas, we also requested data on Subclass 500 student visas and Subclass 600 visitor visas for offshore lodgements — grant and refusal rates. We know many people have been wondering about this.


Subclass 500 Student Visa

For mainland Chinese applicants located overseas, the Subclass 500 student visa approval rate remains very high — above 90%, particularly for higher education. For applicants already in Australia, the success rate is even higher.


Subclass 600 Visitor Visa

Recovery has been gradual since May. Lodgement numbers have stabilised at around 10,000 per month in recent months, with an overall approval rate of 77%.The October approval rate has climbed back above 80%.


A Note from Newstars




Visitor visa processing for parents of non-PR/non-citizen holders remains relatively strict:
– Refusal rates for parents of 500/485 visa holders and similar groups remain higher than before. Naturally, decisions are made case by case — individual circumstances still matter greatly.
– If you’re simply looking to come to Australia for a holiday, make sure you prepare your supporting documents thoroughly and do not take the application lightly. If there is no urgency, consider waiting a little longer before lodging.

Visitor visas for parents of PR holders or citizens are mostly being granted normally

– Applications in this category — whether lodged onshore or offshore — have largely returned to normal.Offshore lodgements being granted within approximately one month is now fairly standard.Onshore lodgements may take a little longer (which may actually be a good thing).

– Because parent visitor visas are typically applied for with 3-year validity and a maximum of 12 months per stay, offshore applications require a medical examination. On this point, please note: the Department, in its push to expedite processing, has become less patient with FFI responses for visitor visas. If you cannot complete your medical within 28 days for any reason, you must promptly notify the Department and attach all supporting documentation. If at all possible, book a medical appointment — even if you cannot complete it — to use as evidence.


In short,the Australian visitor visa is not as simple as many people assume — particularly over the past six months, it has been a high-refusal category. One reason is that many people enter on a visitor visa and then apply for other visa types, making the genuine purpose of visitor visa entries more susceptible to scrutiny.


No Visa Is a Small Matter
Parent and other visitor visas,
migration visas after an invitation,
post-graduation renewals,
and all other visa enquiries —
contact our team via the details below and we will arrange everything for you.


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End-of-Year Backlog Down 400,000! Is Temporary-to-Permanent Residence the Reform Priority?Click “Original Link” for the Migration Weekly — Video Edition